Product Evolution and Market FlowNo one product or industry remains in a single market environment forever. Like any other dynamic system, the market for any product or service is always in some flux.
Most products and services move through a familiar sequence, though their speed and timing can vary considerably. They begin in a frontier market, then - in anywhere from weeks to years - move into a jungle or kingdom, and eventually wind up in a battleground. This is where most products and services come to rest, until they are displaced or rendered obsolete by something completely new. Occasionally a product will make its way out of a battleground into a kingdom, as in the cases of computer operating systems and online services, but in the 21st century this is quite rare.
Each individual market environment also has its own set of change dynamics. Here is what these tend to look like:
Kingdom markets evolve slowly and are therefore relatively easy to manage. The common characteristics here are stability, constancy, predictability, power, and control. Budgeting in this environment usually means adding or subtracting a percentage of the current year's figure.
Battleground markets are always eroding. Nothing less than constant attention is necessary to keep products and services from becoming unprofitable. The most common element here is constant differentiation, which is crucial for stemming the erosion of the market.
Jungle markets change very quickly, often on a day-to-day basis. The common element here is constant change. Products and services themselves may change from week to week.
The central characteristics of
frontier markets are growth and invention - becoming bigger, better known, more versatile, more innovative, or just different from the competition.